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Stefano Merler
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Baseline characteristics and outcomes of 1591 patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy Region, Italy
G Grasselli, A Zangrillo, A Zanella, M Antonelli, L Cabrini, A Castelli, ...
Jama 323 (16), 1574-1581, 2020
65682020
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
M Chinazzi, JT Davis, M Ajelli, C Gioannini, M Litvinova, S Merler, ...
Science 368 (6489), 395-400, 2020
43502020
Critical care utilization for the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: early experience and forecast during an emergency response
G Grasselli, A Pesenti, M Cecconi
Jama 323 (16), 1545-1546, 2020
25202020
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
J Zhang, M Litvinova, Y Liang, Y Wang, W Wang, S Zhao, Q Wu, S Merler, ...
Science 368 (6498), 1481-1486, 2020
13102020
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19
A Aleta, D Martin-Corral, A Pastore y Piontti, M Ajelli, M Litvinova, ...
Nature Human Behaviour 4 (9), 964-971, 2020
8722020
Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study
J Zhang, M Litvinova, W Wang, Y Wang, X Deng, X Chen, M Li, W Zheng, ...
The Lancet Infectious Diseases 20 (7), 793-802, 2020
8302020
Heterogeneities in macroparasite infections: patterns and processes
K Wilson, ON Bjørnstad, AP Dobson, S Merler, G Poglayen, SE Randolph, ...
The ecology of wildlife diseases 44, 6-44, 2002
6522002
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy
D Cereda, M Manica, M Tirani, F Rovida, V Demicheli, M Ajelli, P Poletti, ...
Epidemics 37, 100528, 2021
503*2021
Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models
M Ajelli, B Gonçalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu, JJ Ramasco, S Merler, ...
BMC infectious diseases 10, 1-13, 2010
3822010
The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza
S Merler, M Ajelli
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 277 (1681), 557-565, 2010
3602010
Spread of Zika virus in the Americas
Q Zhang, K Sun, M Chinazzi, A Pastore y Piontti, NE Dean, DP Rojas, ...
Proceedings of the national academy of sciences 114 (22), E4334-E4343, 2017
3572017
Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020
F Riccardo, M Ajelli, XD Andrianou, A Bella, M Del Manso, M Fabiani, ...
Eurosurveillance 25 (49), 2000790, 2020
321*2020
Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis
S Merler, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, MFC Gomes, AP y Piontti, L Rossi, ...
The Lancet Infectious Diseases 15 (2), 204-211, 2015
3142015
Association of age with likelihood of developing symptoms and critical disease among close contacts exposed to patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Italy
P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, G Sabatino, ...
JAMA network open 4 (3), e211085-e211085, 2021
273*2021
Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks
QH Liu, M Ajelli, A Aleta, S Merler, Y Moreno, A Vespignani
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (50), 12680-12685, 2018
2612018
The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt
C Viboud, K Sun, R Gaffey, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, S Merler, Q Zhang, ...
Epidemics 22, 13-21, 2018
2472018
Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling
D Mistry, M Litvinova, A Pastore y Piontti, M Chinazzi, L Fumanelli, ...
Nature communications 12 (1), 323, 2021
2412021
Inferring the structure of social contacts from demographic data in the analysis of infectious diseases spread
L Fumanelli, M Ajelli, P Manfredi, A Vespignani, S Merler
PLoS Computational Biology 8 (9), e1002673, 2012
2382012
The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics
P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler
PloS one 6 (2), e16460, 2011
2302011
Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios
ML Ciofi degli Atti, S Merler, C Rizzo, M Ajelli, M Massari, P Manfredi, ...
PloS one 3 (3), e1790, 2008
2262008
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